At a breakfast with reporters on Thursday in the nation's capital, former U.S. National Security Adviser Zbigniew Brzezinski said "that the Bush administration has been 'paralyzed' by Iraq and is resigned to handing off the war to the next president in 2009," Bob Deans reported on his blog on the American-Statesman (Austin, TX) web site.[1]  --  As he has before (at Duke Univ. on Mar. 28, for example), Brzezinksi also "warned that armed conflict with Iran would bog down the United States in regional warfare that could last 20 years, crippling America’s global leadership for a generation or more," Deans said.  --  In another account, the Christian Science Monitor called the event "the Monitor Breakfast."  --  Linda Felmann said that Brzezinski laid out "a two-point plan" for the U.S. to get out of Iraq:  (1) work out a plan for U.S. departure in about a year with the Iraqi leaders willing to accept that, and (2) set in motion a plan of "really consulting" all of Iraq's neighbors about security arrangements after the U.S. leaves.[2] ...


1.

Window on Washington

ZBIG: WHITE HOUSE 'PARALIZYED' BY IRAQ WAR
By Bob Deans

American-Statesman (Austin, TX)
April 12, 2007

Original source: American-Statesman (Austin, TX)

WASHINGTON -- Former national security adviser Zbigniew Brzezinski said Thursday that the Bush administration has been “paralyzed” by Iraq and is resigned to handing off the war to the next president in 2009.

He also accused the White House of creating “a culture of fear” and warned that armed conflict with Iran would bog down the United States in regional warfare that could last 20 years, crippling America’s global leadership for a generation or more.

Brzezinski, who served as national security adviser during the Carter administration and remains influential on matters of U.S. foreign policy, made the comments over breakfast to a group of Washington reporters.

President Bush told reporters in March 2006 that the question of whether U.S. forces would remain in Iraq “will be decided by future presidents and future governments of Iraq. ” At the same time, he has said repeatedly that U.S. forces will begin to come home once Iraqi forces are able to provide for the security of the country.

“The president has decided to bequeath the war to his successor,” said Brzezinski, asserting that Democrats will not be able to use their slim congressional majority to force a change in U.S. strategy in Iraq.

2.

The Monitor Breakfast

FROM FORMER CARTER AIDE, A PLAN FOR GETTING OUT OF IRAQ
By Linda Feldmann

** Zbigniew Brzezinski outlines a two-point plan: Consult with Iraqi leaders to fix a departure date, and engage all of Iraq's neighbors about securing the country's future. **

Christian Science Monitor
April 12, 2007

http://www.csmonitor.com/2007/0413/p25s01-usmb.html

WASHINGTON -- The week the Iraq war started, in March 2003, Zbigniew Brzezinski received a briefing from President Bush's top security advisers: Secretary of State Colin Powell, Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld, and national security adviser Condoleezza Rice.

Dr. Brzezinski, who served as national security adviser to President Jimmy Carter, asked them whether they were "really confident" that Iraq had weapons of mass destruction.

"I've known some of them for 20 years," he recalled at a *Monitor* breakfast Thursday. "They looked me in the eye, and each of them said, 'We know, Zbig, we know they have weapons of mass destruction.' I was skeptical."

Brzezinski then recounted appearing on national television the day the war started, and saying that he prayed to God that there are WMD in Iraq, "because if we started this war on false assumptions, it's going to be very costly."

Today, Brzezinski says, his fears have been realized. In the session with reporters, he said he believes Mr. Bush has resigned himself to bequeathing the war to his successor -- and that whoever succeeds him will end the war. The question is, how?

Brzezinski lays out a two-point plan for the U.S.: First, he says, go to the Iraqi leaders and say: Let's sit down and discuss a jointly defined date for departure.

"And when I say Iraqi leaders, I don't mean just the guys in the Green Zone. I mean a lot of the guys outside of the Green Zone," the guys with militias, Brzezinski says. "A lot of the guys in the Green Zone -- not all, but a lot of them -- will pack their bags and leave when we leave."

Next, he says, he would suggest a U.S. departure in about a year, and see which Iraqi leaders are prepared to go along with that. "My guess is it will be the guys who are not in the Green Zone, but who have the militias," he says.

Brzezinski would, at the same time "and more overtly," set in motion a process of "really consulting" all of Iraq's neighbors, plus possibly Pakistan, Algeria, Morocco, and Egypt, about arrangements for security in Iraq after the U.S. leaves.

"All of these countries have a stake in Iraq not blowing up," he says. "And the fact of the matter is, if you go around Iraq and look at each country systematically, whether it's Iran or Turkey or Syria or Jordan or Saudi Arabia, each one is seriously threatened if Iraq blows up."

Some of that is already being done by those countries on their own in an effort to promote regional stability, he notes. But he sees a U.S.-led effort to engage these countries in a collective effort as helping a great deal to absorb the "shock effects" of a U.S. departure.

"My final point is, yes, there will be some escalation in the violence when we leave," he says. But "I don't subscribe to the view that it's automatically doomed to become an explosion."

Brzezinski has just published a new book called Second Chance: Three Presidents and the Crisis of American Superpower. In it, he critiques the three most recent U.S. presidents' performance on foreign policy -- the first leaders of the post-Cold War era. He gives the first President Bush a "B," President Clinton a "C," and the current President Bush an "F."

And how about the president he served from 1977 to 1981? In the foreign-policy arena, Brzezinski said, Mr. Carter had three good years and one bad one, marked by the Iran hostage crisis. But he did not assign a letter grade.