The private intelligence company Stratfor is publishing detailed daily timelines for events in Georgia, available to subscribers. -- The timeline for Aug. 9, the second day of the conflict, is posted below.[2] -- Times are local (twelve hours ahead of PDT). -- Highlights: As Russian forces moved into South Ossetia and the bombing of the Black Sea port Poti was reported in the early morning hours of Aug. 9, the Georgian government moving its offices to undisclosed locations; the U.S. government began to prepare for the evacuation of some 2,000 U.S. citizens in Georgia. -- Shortly after dawn the Russian news agency Interfax reported that the South Ossetian capital of Tskhinvali had been retaken by Russian forces. -- In midmorning Russian forces struck military sites in Georgia, which said that the two nations were at war; Russia's president called it a "peace enforcement operation." -- Early in the evening, Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe chair Alexander Stubb told reporters that Russian-Georgian conflict should be considered a war and that the outlook for a quick cessation to the fighting was grim. -- Half an hour later, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, and Poland issued a statement calling Russia's actions "imperialist and revisionist." -- As night fell, the Russian news agency Itar-Tass reported Georgia had launched a new infantry offensive in Tskhinvali. -- Georgia claimed it was making cease-fire proposals to Russia, which denied receiving them. -- Around 10:00 p.m. Reuters reported that Azerbaijan had halted oil exports from Georgian ports. -- Reuters reported at 10:38 p.m. that an unnamed U.S. official accused Russia of a "disproportionate" response....
1. GEORGIA: A TIMELINE OF EVENTS AUG. 9 Stratfor August 9, 2008 Updates will be made as more information becomes available. All times are local Georgian time and listed by most recent event first. 10:38 p.m.: The United States calls Russia's response to Georgian military moves in South Ossetia "disproportionate" to the threat and demands an immediate cease-fire, Reuters reports, citing an unnamed senior U.S. official. 9:49 p.m.: Reuters reports that Azerbaijan has halted oil exports from the Georgian ports of Batumi and Kulevi because of fighting in South Ossetia. Rovnag Abdullayev, head of Azeri state energy firm SOCAR, said shipments stopped the night of Aug. 8 and that all 47 SOCAR employees in Kulevi left the area Aug. 9. 10:15 p.m.: Georgian news agency Novosti Gruzia reports that Georgian President Mikhail Saakashvili has proposed a cease-fire to Russian President Dmitri Medvedev, the second such proposal in a day. Russian news agency RIA Novosti reports that the Russian military has not received any truce proposals from Saakashvili. 9:20 p.m.: Russian news agency Itar-Tass reports that Georgia has launched a new infantry offensive in Tskhinvali, with Georgian tanks breaking through the city's defenses and South Ossetian forces destroying three of them. 9 p.m. 8:02 p.m.: Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania and Poland issue a joint statement calling on NATO and the European Union to condemn Russia's "imperialist and revisionist" actions in South Ossetia. 7:30 p.m.: Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe chair Alexander Stubb tells reporters that Russia cannot continue to be a mediator in the dispute between Georgia and South Ossetia because it is involved in the conflict. Stubb announces plans to meet with President Mikhail Saakashvili on Aug. 11 in Tbilisi, and then with Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov in Moscow. He says prospects are grim for a quick resolution to the conflict, which he says should be considered a war. 6:05 p.m.: Interfax reports that Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin has arrived the city of Vladikavkaz in Russia's North Ossetia region to discuss the influx of refugees displaced by the conflict in neighboring South Ossetia. 6 p.m. 5 p.m.: Russian Prime Minister Dmitri Medvedev tells U.S. President George W. Bush that a military withdrawal from South Ossetia is Georgia's only hope for resolving the crisis, Reuters reports. 4:52 p.m.: U.S. President George W. Bush says Russian attacks in Georgian territory, outside the breakaway South Ossetia region, mark a "dangerous escalation in the crisis" and called for an immediate end to Russian bombings there. 4:23 p.m.: Georgian troops in the Upper Kodori Gorge in the separatist region of Abkhazia have come under attack from Abkhaz troops attempting to force them out, Abkhaz Foreign Minister Sergei Shamba says in a statement on the Abkhaz government's Web site. Georgian President Mikhail Saakashvili says the attacks have been repelled. 3:21 p.m.: Georgian National Security Council Secretary Alexander Lomaia tells reporters that Georgian President Mikhail Saakashvili has ordered troops to withdraw from Tskhinvali. Lomaia says Russian forces are still firing artillery at Georgian positions outside the city, but the Georgians have been ordered not to return fire "to the extent possible." 3:14 p.m.: Citing Russian news agency Interfax, business daily Kommersant reports that more than 30,000 refugees from South Ossetia have fled into Russia since the conflict began Aug. 7. Approximately 70,000 people reportedly lived in South Ossetia before the fighting began, of whom half lived in Tskhinvali. Russian authorities are providing necessary aid to the displaced, Vice Premier Sergei Sobyanin says. 3:05 p.m.: Georgian Prime Minister Lado Gurgenidze calls on Western powers to support Tbilisi against Russia's actions in South Ossetia, speaking in an interview with Russian Business daily Kommersant. International "key players" are in talks with Georgia, Russia and each other, he says. 3 p.m. 2:54 p.m.: Georgian President Mikhail Saaksashvili calls for an immediate cease-fire by Russia, and says he will ask Parliament to introduce martial law. 12:22 p.m.: Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov says in a conference call that Russia is not prepared to fight an all-out war with Georgia. He also implies that the West is partly to blame for the conflict playing out in South Ossetia and ensuing "humanitarian disaster," since the United States and others have sold weapons to Georgian military forces. 12:15 p.m.: The secretary of Georgia's national security council denies that Russian forces have captured the South Ossetian capital, Tskhinvali. Khakha Lomaia says Georgia still holds the city and that its forces have downed 10 Russian fighter jets -- four of them on Aug. 9 -- and captured a pilot. NOON 11:15 a.m.: Russian President Dmitri Medvedev calls for those responsible for the humanitarian crisis in South Ossetia to be held accountable under international law, Russian business daily Kommersant reports. 10:56 a.m.: Georgian authorities say Russian aircraft have bombed telecommunications targets in Gori, Interfax reports. 10:51 a.m.: Officials in South Ossetia are seeking legal help from Russia to assist the region's bid for independence from Georgia, Interfax reports. 10:50 a.m.: Interfax reports Russian bombs targeting the Kodori Gorge, a traditional flashpoint in the Russian-Georgian border region. Rumors of an attack earlier were carried by Cominf.org's Web site. 10:40 a.m.: A witness has reported heavy Russian bombing around the town of Gori, within Georgian territory. 10:24 a.m.: Georgia is recalling all 2,000 of its soldiers currently deployed to Iraq, rather than half the contingent as previously planned, Col. Bondo Maisuradze tells Reuters. The officer says troop transport will be provided by the United States. 10 a.m.: Georgian President Mikhail Saakashvili makes remarks to the public about the imposition of martial law. Shortly thereafter, the Georgian Foreign Ministry states that a war with Russia is, in fact, under way, Interfax reports. 9:56 a.m.: Speaking at a meeting in Moscow, President Dmitri Medvedev says Russian forces in South Ossetia are involved in, not a war, but a peace enforcement operation intended to protect civilians and "to force the Georgian side to (agree to) peace," Reuters reports. 9:51 a.m.: The railway between Tbilisi and Zugdidi, in western Georgia, has been destroyed by Russian air attacks, South Ossetian news outlet Cominf.org reports. 9:51 a.m.: South Ossetian news site Cominf.org mentions rumors of Russian airstrikes in the upper Kodori Valley, in Abkhazia -- another breakaway region of Georgia. No details or confirmation are mentioned. 9:40 a.m.: Georgia has not cut off diplomatic relations with Russia, Interfax reports. 9:31 a.m.: Russian combat aircraft reportedly strike a Georgian military airfield near Kutaisi, according to Interfax. 9 a.m. 8:41 a.m.: Georgian military forces have begun massing near the border with Abkhazia, a breakaway region that is west of South Ossetia, Interfax reports, citing an Abkhaz official. 8:34 a.m.: Russian military officials say additional army units were deployed overnight to South Ossetia to bolster its peacekeeping forces there, Reuters reports, citing Russian news agencies. 8:07 a.m.: Russia's Foreign Ministry accuses Ukraine of encouraging Georgians to carry out "ethnic cleansing" in South Ossetia, Interfax reports. In a statement on its Web site, the ministry claims that Ukraine "has been enthusiastically arming Georgian troops from top to bottom", and that the country has "no moral right to teach others how to do things." 7:57 a.m.: Russian officials say they have established full control over Tskhinvali, the capital of South Ossetia, and begun pushing Georgian forces "beyond the zone of peacekeepers' responsibility," TASS reports, quoting a ground forces commander. Russian aircraft have conducted at least five strikes, mostly against military targets, in Gori, south of the contested territory. 7:27 a.m.: Russia's 58th Unit and peacekeepers are moving back toward a peace enforcement footing in South Ossetia, Interfax reports, citing army official Igor Konashenkov. The Russian army has recaptured Tskhinvali, though some shelling by Georgian forces is occurring in southern parts of the city. 7:14 a.m.: The foreign ministers of Lithuania and Sweden are expected in Tbilisi on Aug. 9, Interfax reports, citing Georgia's State Chancellery. The chancellery also says Georgian President Mikhail Saakashvili has spoken by phone with U.S. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice, NATO Secretary-General Jaap de Hoop Scheffer, and Lithuanian President Valdas Adamkus about the situation in South Ossetia. 7:12 a.m.: Georgian officials claim their forces have shot down six Russian fighter craft, Interfax reports. 6 a.m. 3:26 a.m.: Cossack soldiers are arriving in South Ossetia, Interfax reports. 3:23 a.m.: The Associated Press reports that fighting in South Ossetia is continuing. The Georgian Interior Ministry says three military bases, including the Vaziani military base on the outskirts of Tbilisi, were bombed and that bombs fell near the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan oil pipeline. 3:17 a.m.: The Associated Press reports that the U.N. Security Council is at a stalemate on the issue of fighting in South Ossetia. The council broke in a stalemate the evening of Aug. 8 but plans to resume meeting the morning of Aug. 9. 3:13 a.m.: Interfax reports that protesters are picketing at the Georgian and U.S. embassies and the EU representative building in Moscow, holding signs that say "Ours." 3 a.m. 2:08 a.m.: Russian soldiers have destroyed large numbers of Georgian armored vehicles and aircraft outside Tskhinvali, RIA Novosti reports. Georgian forces are still shelling the city, and the roads and residential areas south of the capital are said to be on fire. 1:40 a.m.: RIA Novosti reports that the Georgian government has decided to evacuate its defense and internal affairs ministries to undisclosed locations, RIA Novosti reported Aug. 9. The Avlabari district of Tbilisi, where Georgian President Mikhail Saakashvili's residence is located, has also been evacuated. This comes hours before Saakashvili is expected to hold a press conference before declaring martial law. 1:27 a.m.: The United States is completing plans to evacuate the 2,000 U.S. citizens from Georgia if the need arises, RIA Novosti reports. The plans are being formed by the Defense Department and U.S. Armed Forces European Command in Germany. So far, no details have been given on the evacuation routes. 12:03 a.m.: Reuters reports that Georgian President Mikhail Saakashvili will declare martial law in a few hours and that Russian forces bombed the Black Sea port of Poti and a military base at Senaki and might have started bombing civil and economic infrastructure. |